Since 2016, white-working class workers are projected to decline by 2.3%. Since then, Whites with some college education, African-Americans, Hispanics, and Asians have increased.
The Wall Street Journal, based upon the above demographics, projects that Trump would lose Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin–States that he won by a combined 77,000 votes in 2016.
According to the projections, his victory margins in Arizona and North Carolina will decline. Florida, which Trump won by 1% is now a toss-up state.
While the U.S. economy has done well under Trump’s tenure, his demeanor and policies in regard to women’s rights, climate change, tax policy, etc. have not expanded his overall popularity.
Because the Democratic nominee remains unsettled, it remains unclear whether Trump can win reelection.